Sunday, October 14, 2012

Communication with Arun Nehru(Former Home Minister of India)


The Dangerous Chaos that we have Embraced


Dear Sri Arun Nehruji,

Greetings for Durga Puja celebration. I write with reference to your above article in TNIE 14th Oct.2012.

1. Gloom & Doom Theory: While, I agree with your contention that our politics is increasingly getting fragmented; even, at the regional level; however, don’t share the “gloom and doom” theory of ‘anarchy & chaos’. This could be the political churning due to greater awareness, confidence and empowerment in the society while interplay between these issues and disillusionment with poor Governance can’t be ruled out. Eventually, there would be a slow movement from “Personality driven to Policy Driven Politics”. And, what could be the single most important policy? Than to see “India as a prosperous, developed and strong Nation of over billion people” in next decade.

2. Psephology 2013-14: Your analysis on numbers has some glitches as it does not give representation to Left, Tiny political parties and Independents. I pursue a hypothesis in which Congress would have lost half of its mandate- max 103 seats if election were held in 2013 and it would be in double digit if election was pushed to 2014 (as per schedule). However, I agree with your prediction and with all available indications BJP should not be bridging beyond 150. But, just incase electorate wants to punish Congress severely with a Negative vote; BJP may just could be the principal beneficiary being the main Opposition clocking 200 plus seats (though looks very unlikely given the ground situation). Regional parties put together most likely to reach 223-240 seats (Also, as per your prediction).

3. Suggestion: Arun Ji I have read a lot of complementary reference to you as first ever Internal Security Minister in the book “Bullet for Bullet” written by Julious Riberio. I wish to suggest you to do some thing about “Political Unity and Political Collaboration” across the political parties to bring little sanity and stability to our Govt. and Governance; irrespective of which party rule at the centre.

Thanking you.
Kind Regards,

Bikash Choudhury


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