Sunday, June 16, 2013

Can India afford a weak and unstable Govt. in 2014?

Bikash Choudhury



Elevation of Narendra Modi as the chief of campaign committee of BJP
for the general election in 2014 last week has created a very sharp
reaction inside the party as the grand old man of BJP chose to
register his protest at the decision of the party by resigning from
all the posts; which he subsequently retracted on the joint advice of
parliamentary board and the top functionaries of RSS at Nagpur. It is
not clear if the resignation drama of Advaniji was a genuine solo act
or it was stage managed to browbeat Janata Dal United leader and Bihar
Chief Minister Nitish Kumar. However, by the time this article goes to
press, most probably JD (U) would have parted company with NDA ending
a17 year alliance. The reaction of Congress Leaders were of shock and
disbelief; though, it was a long forgone conclusion that Modi would
lead his soldiers of the party in one of the most crucial and closely
contested and passionately fought general election in 2014. The
sharper the reaction to Modi, better would be the chances of BJP
coming to power solo or in alliance in the next general election as
the party cadres would enthusiastically rally around Modi and the
party top brass would be compelled to sink their differences and would
fall in line to improve the chances of the party. If the Indian
electorates exercise their franchise in a conventional way then we may
see a Third Front Govt. at the helm under the Leadership of Naveen
Patnaik or Nitish Kumar with just 135 to 150 seats in the lower house
and supported by Left (15-25 seats) and Congress Party (100-125 seats)
from the outside; while BJP would seat in the opposition once again
with 200-220 seats in its pocket. If the Third Front Govt. runs for
full term there would be no issues; but, if it could not under the
pressure of a narrow mandate then country would be forced to
administer another general election in 2016 at an exorbitant cost of $
2-5 billion USD. Indian Economy would sink once again and security
situation could worsen under the weight of a weak and unstable Central
Government; which needs to be avoided at all cost in the larger
National interest. Therefore, it would be in the interest of all
political formation and the media to educate the electorates about the
prudence to de-link the State Assembly Election from the Parliamentary
election and the importance of a strong and stable Central Govt. in
the interest of faster economic growth and for the security of our
Nation. A strong and stable Govt. with a complete mandate would be
able to apply its mind to resolve intractable problems faced by our
economy, bureaucracy, in Governance and in development of social
infrastructure in the country. Further, to redress the six basic
problems like Bijli, Sadak & Pani and Roti, Kapda & Makan new Govt.
has to transform the bureaucracy and the public sector as an engine of
growth; apart from, encouraging private sector for its contributions
in National renewal mission. Hopefully, New Govt. would use Water,
Energy, Women and Infrastructure as tools for faster turn around of
our economy. Eventually, India would gain political clout beyond its
borders. A strong and stable Central Govt. is the need of the hour for
India to become a Global Power.

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